{"id":6012,"date":"2021-07-05T01:42:56","date_gmt":"2021-07-04T17:42:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/?p=6012"},"modified":"2021-07-05T01:42:56","modified_gmt":"2021-07-04T17:42:56","slug":"%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e6%b8%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%a8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/07\/%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e6%b8%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%a8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6295\u8cc7\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><span style=\"color: #04b2f2;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u6295\u8cc7\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u51fa\u5bb6\u9580\u53e3\u524d\uff0c\u8981\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7740\u5e7e\u591a\u886b\uff0c\u5e36\u4e0d\u5e36\u906e\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u6703\u6191\u611f\u89ba\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\u6703\u671b\u4e00\u671b\u5929\u6c23\u8cc7\u8a0a\uff1b\u540c\u6a23\uff0c\u9a45\u52d5\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u6191\u611f\u89ba\uff0c\u9084\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u5927\u5806\u8cc7\u8a0a\u53bb\u8f14\u52a9\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">MPFDIY \u53ca<span style=\"color: #04b2f2;\">&lt;\u7a4d\u91d1\u5927\u53cd\u64ca&gt;<\/span>\u7684<span style=\"color: #04b2f2;\">\u5341\u4e8c\u7a2e\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5f37\u7a4d\u91d1\u6295\u8cc7\u7b56\u7565<\/span>\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u4f9d\u9760\u300c\u57fa\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u300d\u9019\u4e00\u9805\u8cc7\u8a0a\u3002\u4f8b\u5982<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2017\/06\/7%e6%8b%9b%e7%b4%b0%e7%af%802-%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e7%b7%9a%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e8%88%87%e8%b2%a1%e7%b6%93%e8%a1%93%e8%aa%9e\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7b2c\u4e8c\u62db\u5e73\u5747\u7dda<\/a>\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2017\/07\/7%e6%8b%9b%e7%b4%b0%e7%af%803-%e5%83%b9%e5%80%bc%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7b2c\u56db\u62db\u50f9\u503c\u5e73\u5747<\/a>\uff0c\u8207\u53ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2017\/08\/7%e6%8b%9b%e7%b4%b0%e7%af%804-%e7%a7%bb%e5%8b%95%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7b2c\u4e94\u62db\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747<\/a>\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u4ee5\u57fa\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u53bb\u4f5c\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u7b46\u8005\u500b\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u662f\u6709\u7279\u5b9a\u610f\u7fa9\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u73a9\u5f04\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u6280\u8853\u8a08\u7b97\u3002\u5047\u8a2d\u6709\u4e00\u516c\u53f8\u53ea\u670910\u80a1\uff0c10\u4f4d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5404\u4eba\u7528$10\u8cb7\u4e86\u4e00\u80a1\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\uff0c\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u50f9\u683c\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u4fbf\u662f$10\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u7576\u5e02\u5834\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u4e00\u500b1\u80a1$12\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u4e0d\u77e5\u662f\u90a3\u4e00\u4f4d\u80a1\u6771\u8ce3\u51fa\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u77e5\u9053\u8ce3\u51fa\u7684\u80a1\u6771\u4e00\u5b9a\u6709\u8cfa\uff0c\u800c\u672a\u8ce3\u7684\u80a1\u6771\u662f\u7b49\u5f85\u8cfa\u591a\u5572\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u5f8c\u7684\u80a1\u6771\u9580\u5e73\u5747\u6301\u8ca8\u50f9\u4fbf\u662f($10&#215;9 + $12) \/10 = $10.2 \u3002\u63a5\u7740\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u51fa\u73fe$10.1 \u7684\u6210\u4ea4\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u5373\u610f\u5473\u5e73\u5747\u4f86\u8aaa\u662f\u6709\u80a1\u6771\u8755\u4f4f\u8d70\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u500b\u5225\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u7968\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528<a href=\"https:\/\/corporatefinanceinstitute.com\/resources\/knowledge\/trading-investing\/volume-weighted-adjusted-price-vwap\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">VWAP<\/a> \u6216\u80a1\u7968\u6d41\u901a\u91cf\u53bb\u8003\u616e\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u7684\u5206\u6bcd\u80a1\u4efd\u6578\u91cf\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u5e02\u53ca\u5927\u578b\u6307\u6578\u5982S&amp;P500 \u6216\u5f37\u7a4d\u91d1\u7684\u6210\u4efd\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u4fbf\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u7528\u5e73\u5747\u6578\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u52a0\u4ee5\u5929\u6578\u6708\u6578\u4f5c\u70ba\u5206\u6bcd\u8003\u616e\u3002\u4f8b\u5982200\u5929\u621610\u500b\u6708\u662f\u4eba\u5011\u5e38\u7528\u65bc\u7f8e\u80a1\u6295\u8cc7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u50f9\u683c\u4e4b\u5916\u4fbf\u662f\u76ee\u6a19\u6295\u8cc7\u50f9\u683c\u56de\u5831\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2017\/06\/%e5%bc%b7%e7%a9%8d%e9%87%91%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e4%ba%a4%e6%b5%8112-%e7%a7%bb%e5%8b%95%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e5%8f%8a%e5%8b%95%e5%8a%9b%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7b2c\u516d\u62db<\/a>\u53ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/01\/2020%e5%b9%b4%e5%bc%b7%e7%a9%8d%e9%87%91%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e6%aa%a2%e8%a8%8e\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7b2c\u516b\u62db<\/a>\u662f\u52d5\u529b\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u7528\u56de\u5831\u4f5c\u8003\u616e\uff0c\u6ce2\u5e45\u4ea6\u662f\u8003\u616e\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/04\/%e5%bc%b7%e7%a9%8d%e9%87%91%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e4%ba%a4%e6%b5%8128-%e7%ac%ac9%e6%8b%9b%e6%b3%a2%e5%b9%85%e8%bf%bd%e8%b9%a4%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7b2c\u4e5d\u62db<\/a>\u53ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/04\/%e5%bc%b7%e7%a9%8d%e9%87%91%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e4%ba%a4%e6%b5%8127-%e7%ac%ac%e5%8d%81%e4%ba%8c%e6%8b%9b%e7%9b%ae%e6%a8%99%e6%b3%a2%e5%b9%85%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7b2c\u5341\u4e8c\u62db<\/a>\u5c31\u662f\u7528<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/?s=%E6%B3%A2%E5%B9%85\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6ce2\u5e45<\/a>\u4f5c\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/05\/%e5%bc%b7%e7%a9%8d%e9%87%91%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e4%ba%a4%e6%b5%8129-%e7%ac%ac10%e6%8b%9b%e7%b6%9c%e5%90%88%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7b2c\u5341\u62db<\/a>\u662f\u7528\u6295\u8cc7\u7269\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7269\u50f9\u683c\u4f5c\u70ba\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08\uff0cDAA \u5167\u7684\u91d1\u7d72\u96c0\u662f\u7528\u5916\u9593\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u53ca\u50b5\u5238\u4f5c\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u6709\u8208\u8da3\u7684\u5c31\u7ffb\u95b1<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/05\/%e5%bc%b7%e7%a9%8d%e9%87%91%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e4%ba%a4%e6%b5%8129-%e7%ac%ac10%e6%8b%9b%e7%b6%9c%e5%90%88%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u524d\u6587<\/a>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">VIX \u6050\u614c\u6307\u6578\u662f\u7b46\u8005\u8fd1\u5e74\u7684\u81f3\u611b\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08\uff0cS&amp;P500 \u7684VIX \uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ee520 \u53ca40 \u70ba\u754c\u7dda\uff0c\u8207<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/02\/%e6%88%b0%e8%a1%93%e6%80%a7%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%aeetf3-onof\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u524d\u6587ETF<\/a> \u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0cVIX 20 \u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e3b\u529b\u6295\u8cc7\u80a1\u7968\uff0cVIX 20\u81f340 \u4ee5\u80a1\u50b5\u6df7\u5408\uff0cVIX 40\u4ee5\u4e0a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8da8\u52e2\u6027\u907f\u96aa\u6216\u8005\u50f9\u503c\u6027\u6488\u5e95\uff0c\u662f\u80fd\u63d0\u5347Sharpe ratio \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Ray Dalio \u7684 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2019\/09\/%e5%bc%b7%e7%a9%8d%e9%87%91%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e4%ba%a4%e6%b5%8121%ef%bc%8d%e5%85%a8%e5%a4%a9%e5%80%99%e8%b3%87%e7%94%a2%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">All Weather Portfolio<\/a>\uff0c\u51764 \u500b\u754c\u57df\u7684\u5206\u91ce\u5373\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u53ca\u901a\u8139\u7387\u4ea6\u53ef\u4ee5\u6210\u70ba\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08\u3002\u898b\u524d\u6587ETF \u4ee5<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/02\/%e6%88%b0%e8%a1%93%e6%80%a7%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%aeetf4-roro\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u9ec3\u91d1<\/a>\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/02\/%e6%88%b0%e8%a1%93%e6%80%a7%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%aeetf4-roro\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6728\u6750<\/a>\u53ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2021\/03\/%e6%88%b0%e8%a1%93%e6%80%a7%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%aeetf8-rpar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u901a\u8139\u7387<\/a> \u800c\u9032\u884c\u8cc7\u7522\u914d\u7f6e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u81f3\u65bcAll Weather Portfolio \u5167\u6709\u95dc\u516c\u53f8\u589e\u9577\u53ca\u7d93\u6fdf\u64f4\u5f35\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ee5<span style=\"color: #04b2f2;\">discretionary stock ETF<\/span> vs <span style=\"color: #04b2f2;\">staples stock ETF<\/span> \u7684relative strength \u4f5c\u8003\u616e\u662f\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u5c07\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08\u7d9c\u5408\u8d77\u4f86\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u505a\u51fa\u8b8a\u5316\u842c\u5343\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u5f37\u7a4d\u91d1\u66f4\u662f\u5982\u9b5a\u5f97\u6c34\uff0c\u662f\u7b46\u8005\u672a\u4f86\u767c\u5c55\u7b2c\u5341\u4e09\u62db\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u5f8c\u8a18\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u4e0b\u5716\u7684TAA \u75312009\u5e74 \u81f3 2021\u5e746\u6708\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u56de\u5831\u670924.6% , \u6309\u6708\u6ce2\u5e45\u67094.8% , \u6bd4\u7387\u70ba (24.6%\/4.8% = ) 5.1,\u00a0 MDD \u70ba -20.3% , \u6700\u5dee\u5e74\u4efd\u7684\u56de\u5831\u70ba -4.8% , \u7b97\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5e38\u6563\u6236\u53ef\u7528\u7684\u5927\u8defTAA \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro1.jpg?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" title=\" \"loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-6023 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro1.jpg?resize=720%2C470&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\" \" width=\"720\" height=\"470\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro1.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro1.jpg?resize=300%2C196&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro1.jpg?resize=1024%2C668&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro1.jpg?resize=768%2C501&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro2.jpg?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" title=\" \"loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-6024 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro2.jpg?resize=720%2C470&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\" \" width=\"720\" height=\"470\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro2.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro2.jpg?resize=300%2C196&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro2.jpg?resize=1024%2C668&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/baro2.jpg?resize=768%2C501&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u7b46\u8005\u629b\u78da\u5f15\u7389\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u5c07\u75312021\u5e741\u6708\u81f36\u6708\u4f7f\u7528\u7b2c1\u81f312\u62db\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u96fb\u90f5\u7d66\u7b46\u8005(mpfdiy@gmail.com)\uff0c\u4fbf\u53ef\u7372\u5f97\u4e0a\u5716\u7684TAA \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">1. \u8981\u6709\u5f37\u7a4d\u91d1\u5e33\u62361\u6708\u982d\u53ca6\u6708\u5e95\u7684\u5927\u7d04\u8cc7\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff0c\u8207\u53ca\u671f\u9593\u7684\u5927\u7d04\u4f9b\u6b3e\u7e3d\u503c;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">2. \u8aaa\u660e\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u7b2c1\u81f312\u62db\u7684\u54ea\u4e00\u500b\u7b56\u7565;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">3. \u7b56\u7565\u4f7f\u7528\u5fc3\u5f97\u53ca\u611f\u60f3\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u8cc7\u6599200% \u4fdd\u5bc6\uff0c\u53ea\u7528\u4f5c\u7b46\u8005\u500b\u4eba\u597d\u5947\u53ca\u7814\u7a76\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u4e00\u4e0b\u5927\u5bb6\u904b\u7528\u7b2c1\u81f312\u62db\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u64cd\u4f5c\u56f0\u96e3\u53ca\u6539\u5584\u56de\u5831\u8868\u73fe\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6295\u8cc7\u6e29\u5ea6\u8a08 &nbsp; 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