{"id":7511,"date":"2022-11-21T01:28:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-20T17:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/?p=7511"},"modified":"2022-11-21T07:35:06","modified_gmt":"2022-11-20T23:35:06","slug":"%e5%9c%96%e8%a1%a8%e7%9c%8b%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2022\/11\/%e5%9c%96%e8%a1%a8%e7%9c%8b%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5716\u8868\u770b\u7d93\u6fdf"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5716\u8868\u770b\u7d93\u6fdf<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u73fe\u4eca\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a\u4ea4\u6d41\u5341\u5206\u767c\u9054\uff0c\u6bcf\u5206\u6bcf\u79d2\u90fd\u5145\u65a5\u7740\u5f88\u591a\u5f88\u591a\u8cc7\u8a0a\uff0c\u591a\u5230\u4e00\u9ede\u662f\u4ee4\u4eba\u5403\u4e0d\u6d88\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6cc1\u4e14\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u6642\u5019\u9019\u4e9b\u8cc7\u8a0a\u90fd\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u5806noise \uff0c\u77e5\u9053\u8207\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053noise \uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u6c92\u6709\u5206\u5225\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e2\u7136\u6642\u9593\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u4f46\u8cc7\u8a0a\u7121\u9650\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4fbf\u8981\u7528\u6700\u77ed\u6642\u9593\u53bb\u5438\u6536\u6700\u591a\u8cc7\u8a0a\u3002\u6b63\u6240\u8b02\u4e00\u5716\u52dd\u842c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e0b\u641c\u96c6\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fd1\u671f\u91cd\u8981\u5716\u8868\uff0c\u7d66\u5927\u5bb6\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u5e02\u5834\u6709\u500b\u6700\u65b0\u8cc7\u8a0a\u7684update \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u9019\u4e00\u7d1a\u4e00\u7d1a\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u5229\u7387\u727d\u52d5\u7740\u5168\u7403\u6240\u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u7269\uff0c\u662f\u91cd\u4e2d\u4e4b\u91cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u9019\u500b\u7f8e\u570b\u5229\u7387\u65bc2022\u5e74\u4e00\u8def\u5347\u4e00\u8def\u5347\uff0c\u5e7e\u6642\u5148\u8b58\u505c\uff1f\u90a3\u5c31\u770b\u770b\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u5716\u8868\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u9019\u5716\u8868\u6307\u793a\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5373\u662f\u5229\u7387\u5347\u52302023\u5e74\u4e2d\u5c31\u6703\u6389\u982d\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5229\u7387\u5347\u8dcc\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u5728\u4e4e\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u5982\u4f55\u770b\u5f85\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u901a\u5e38\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4e\u662f\u8207\u901a\u8139\u639b\u52fe\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5982\u679c\u9810\u671f\u5229\u7387\u65bc2023\u5e74\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4fbf\u8981\u770b\u770b2023\u5e74\u7684\u901a\u8139\u662f\u5426\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u9019\u5f35\u5716\u986f\u793a\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u8139\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u770b\u4f86\u5df2\u7d93\u898b\u9802\u4e26\u4e14\u6162\u6162\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u52a0\u606f\u6703\u4ee4\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u501f\u8cb8\u606f\u53e3\u958b\u652f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4ea6\u4ee4\u80a1\u50f9\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4f01\u696d\u9ad8\u5c64\u7ba1\u7406\u4eba\u662f\u9760\u6536\u53d6\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u7968\u4f5c\u70ba\u82b1\u7d05\u800c\u767c\u9054\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u5011\u5341\u5206\u7dca\u5f35\u80a1\u50f9\u5347\u8dcc\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u8981\u65bc\u52a0\u606f\u671f\u63d0\u5347\u80a1\u50f9\uff0c\u4fbf\u5148\u8981\u63d0\u5347\u516c\u53f8\u76c8\u5229\uff0c\u800c\u80fd\u5920\u65bc\u77ed\u6642\u9593\u5167\u63d0\u5347\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u88c1\u54e1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u73fe\u6642\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\u8655\u65bc\u6b77\u53f2\u8c37\u5e95\u662f\u4e0d\u6703\u9577\u4e45\uff0c\u5f88\u5feb\u4fbf\u6703\u4e0a\u5347\u81f34% \u9019\u500b\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4f9b\u6a13\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u53d7\u82e6\u7684\u7576\u7136\u662f\u8001\u767e\u59d3\u8207\u53ca\u623f\u5730\u7522\u767c\u5c55\u53ca\u5efa\u5c4b\u884c\u696d\u3002\u4f46\u5931\u5fc5\u6709\u5f97\uff0c\u4ea6\u6703\u6709\u884c\u696d\u53d7\u60e0\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u9280\u884c\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6mortgage \u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6a5f\u69cb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u5f88\u591amortgage reits (mREIT) \u53ef\u4ee5\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u5341\u5206\u8907\u96dc\uff0c\u4ea6\u8207\u5f37\u7a4d\u91d1\u7121\u95dc\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u672c\u7ad9\u6c92\u6709\u8a73\u7d30\u8ac7\u8ad6 (\u9664\u4e86\u6b64\u6587<\/a>) \u3002\u4f46\u5927\u5bb6\u7684\u500b\u4eba\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u90fd\u61c9\u8a72\u8003\u616e\u4e00\u9ede\u9edemREIT , \u9999\u6e2f\u53ca\u83ef\u6587\u7684\u8ca1\u7d93\u8cc7\u8a0a\u7db2\u7ad9\/kol\/youtuber \u61c9\u8a72\u6c92\u6709\u8a0e\u8ad6mREIT \u7684\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u8981\u81ea\u884c\u5411\u82f1\u6587\u8cc7\u8a0a\u8acb\u76ca\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

200day moving average \u662f\u9577\u4e45\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u725b\u718a\u6307\u6a19\u53ca\u5206\u6c34\u5dba\u3002\u73fe\u6642 (2022\u5e7411\u6708) \uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u5df2\u7d93\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u884c\u696d\u53ca\u6307\u6578\u958b\u59cb\u8655\u65bc200\u5929\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2022\u5e74\u5c0d\u65bc\u6295\u8cc7\u65b0\u4eba\u985e\u4f86\u8aaa\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6ec5\u4e16\u80a1\u707d\uff0c\u4f46\u5c0d\u65bc\u6295\u8cc7\u8001\u9905\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u53ea\u662f2SD\u81f33SD \u6ce2\u5e45\u7684\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u5341\u5206\u6975\u7aef\u53ca\u7f55\u6709\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5716\u662fS&P500 \u55ae\u65e5\u8dcc\u5e45\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\uff0c\u6108\u6df1\u7d05\u8272\u5c31\u6108\u6975\u7aef\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u898b\u52302022\u5e74\u7684\u7d05\u8272\u6c92\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u7279\u5225\uff0c\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u9084\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u86c7\u75fe\u5c3f\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u55ae\u65e5\u5927\u5347\u5e02\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u624d\u5bdf\u89ba\u81ea\u5df1\u53e3\u4e2d\u6709\u80a1\u4f46\u624b\u4e2d\u7121\u80a1\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9ad8\u8ffd\u5165\u5e02\u55ce\uff1f\u5982\u679c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6371\u4e00\u5e74\u6ce2\u5e45\uff0c25\u6b21\u6b77\u53f2\u55ae\u65e5\u5927\u5347\u5e02\u4e4b\u5f8c\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u670922\u6b21\u90fd\u662f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u5347\u5e45\u70ba31% \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6309\u4e0a\u88682022\u5e7411\u670810\u65e5\u7f8e\u80a1\u5927\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u4e00\u5e74\u5f8c\u4f60\u8a8d\u70ba\u6703\u662f\u5982\u4f55\uff1f\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u4f60\u61c9\u8a72\u505a\u4ec0\u9ebc\u53bb\u5c0d\u61c9\u9019\u500b\u4e00\u5e74\u5f8c\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\u5462\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u9019\u500b\u5716\u8868\u662fS&P500 \u7684VIX \u6307\u6578\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u65bc2022\u5e74\u5229\u7528VIX \u65bc\u5730\u4e0b\u57f7\u5230\u4e00\u5572\u6c99\u3002VIX \u662f\u6ce2\u5e45\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u65bc\u8dcc\u5e02\u6642\u5bb3\u6015\u800c\u4f4e\u50f9\u51fa\u552e\u6ce2\u5e45\uff0c\u80fd\u5920\u627f\u53d7\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u5c0d\u5bb6\u4fbf\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u503c\u50f9\u6295\u8cc7\u800c\u57f7\u5230\u91d1\u6c99\uff0c\u7576\u5e02\u5834\u56de\u5fa9\u6b63\u5e38\u60c5\u7dd2\u6642\uff0c\u4fbf\u53ef\u4ee5\u56e0\u70bamean reversion \u800c\u7372\u5229\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

Mean reversion \u90fd\u662f\u50f9\u503c\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u624b\u6cd5\u53ca\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c0f\u7d50<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u8ff0\u9019\u4e9b\u5716\u8868\uff0c\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u8ab2\u91d1\u7747\u5ee3\u544a\u53ca\u4ffelike , \u53ea\u8981\u6709\u5fc3\u6709\u76ee\u6a19\u6709\u8ffd\u6c42\uff0c\u65bcgoogle \u4e00 search \u4fbf\u6709\uff0c\u898b\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The Week in Charts (11\/11\/22)<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n