{"id":7889,"date":"2023-05-22T02:39:32","date_gmt":"2023-05-21T18:39:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/?p=7889"},"modified":"2023-05-22T02:39:32","modified_gmt":"2023-05-21T18:39:32","slug":"%e5%a5%bd%e8%82%a1%e9%95%b7%e6%8f%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2023\/05\/%e5%a5%bd%e8%82%a1%e9%95%b7%e6%8f%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\u597d\u80a1\u9577\u63f8?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #00ccff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u597d\u80a1\u9577\u63f8?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u8fd1\u671f\u6709<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/the-bear-markets-survivors-share-their-biggest-lessons-ddf09274?mod=hp_trending_now_article_pos1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0<\/a>\uff0c\u8a0e\u8ad6\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6563\u6236\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u4f4d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u7d93\u6b77\u5982\u4e0b:<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u4f86\u81ea\u8cd3\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9e\u5dde\u5df4\u514b\u65af\u7e23\u768446\u6b72\u6703\u8a08\u5e2b\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5168\u8eab\u5fc3\u5730\u53c3\u8207\u4e86\u8af8\u5982Nvidia\u548cTesla\u7b49\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u5728\u9019\u5169\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u4e0a\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u8d85\u904e200\u842c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6301\u80a1\u3002\u4ed6\u559c\u6b61\u8ffd\u8e64\u9019\u4e9b\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u95dc\u6ce8Elon Musk\u548cNvidia\u9996\u5e2d\u57f7\u884c\u5b98\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\uff08Jensen Huang\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u5207\u8a00\u8ad6\u3002\u4ed6\u9084\u6295\u8cc7\u4e86\u5176\u4ed6\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8Lemonade Inc.\u548cPalantir Technologies Inc.\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u901a\u904e\u4ea4\u6613\u671f\u6b0a\u4f86\u63d0\u9ad8\u56de\u5831\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u4ed6\u770b\u8457\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u98c6\u5347\uff0c\u76f4\u52302022\u5e74\u3002\u6574\u5e74\u4e0b\u4f86\uff0c\u4ed6\u8aaa\u4ed6\u63a5\u5230\u8b49\u5238\u7d93\u7d00\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u96fb\u8a71\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u4ed6\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u591a\u73fe\u91d1\u4ee5\u652f\u4ed8\u4ed6\u4f7f\u7528\u501f\u4f86\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u9032\u884c\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u8ce0\u9322\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\u4ea4\u6613\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u6700\u7d42\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u81ea\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u767c\u4ee5\u4f86\u6240\u8cfa\u53d6\u7684\u6240\u6709\u8cc7\u91d1\uff0c\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u8b49\u5238\u8cec\u6236\u4e2d\u7d2f\u8a08\u8667\u640d\u8d85\u904e100\u842c\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4fb5\u8755\u4e86\u4ed6\u6700\u521d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u640d\u5931\u4ee4\u4eba\u58d3\u529b\u5de8\u5927\u3002\u6709\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u4ed6\u70ba\u4e86\u4ea4\u6613\u548c\u95dc\u6ce8\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\uff0c\u932f\u904e\u4e86\u548c\u5bb6\u4eba\u4e00\u8d77\u5ea6\u5047\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u8aaa\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u611f\u89ba\u81ea\u5df1\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u597d\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u3002\u6211\u5ea6\u904e\u4e86\u592a\u591a\u500b\u5f77\u5fa8\u7684\u591c\u665a\u3002\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u4ed6\u6c7a\u5b9a\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u7a2e\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u4ecd\u7136\u76f8\u4fe1\u79d1\u6280\uff0c\u4f46\u8a66\u5716\u5be6\u73fe\u8cc7\u7522\u591a\u5143\u5316\u3002\u4ed6\u6301\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u80fd\u5920\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u7a69\u5b9a\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5305\u62ecDevon Energy Corp.\u548cChevron Corp.\u7b49\u80fd\u6e90\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4ee5\u53caGoldman Sachs Group Inc.\u7b49\u9280\u884c\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u4ed6\u9084\u901a\u904e\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u4ea4\u6613\u57fa\u91d1\uff08ETF\uff09\u5982SPDR Gold Shares\u7a4d\u7d2f\u4e86\u91d1\u5c6c\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u5c0d\u4eca\u5e74\u665a\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u611f\u5230\u64d4\u5fc3\u3002\u4ed6\u5e0c\u671b\u901a\u904e\u591a\u5143\u5316\u8cc7\u7522\u914d\u7f6e\u7372\u5f97\u4e00\u4e9b\u5b89\u5fc3\u611f\uff0c\u4e26\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u4fdd\u8b77\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u514d\u53d7\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u8aaa\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u8207\u53bb\u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u597d\u4e86\uff0c\u770b\u5b8c\u4e86\u9019\u500b\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u4f86\u5206\u6790\u4e00\u4e0b\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u9996\u5148\u662f\u4e3b\u89d2\u91d1\u5148\u751f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u7528200\u842c\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb7\u4e86Nvidia\u548cTesla\u9019\u5169\u96bb\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u9019\u5169\u96bb\u80a1\u7968\u90fd\u662f\u9ad8\u56de\u5831\u4e14\u9ad8\u6ce2\u5e45\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u88ab\u9ad8\u56de\u5831\u6240\u5438\u5f15\uff0c\u537b\u6c92\u6709\u8003\u616e\u5230\u9ad8\u6ce2\u5e45\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u6211\u5011\u4f86\u4f7f\u7528Portfolio visualizer\u9032\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u5982\u679c\u4e00\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u6301\u6709\u9019\u5169\u96bb\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u8acb\u53c3\u8003<a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfoliovisualizer.com\/backtest-portfolio?s=y&amp;timePeriod=2&amp;startYear=1985&amp;firstMonth=1&amp;endYear=2023&amp;lastMonth=12&amp;calendarAligned=true&amp;includeYTD=false&amp;initialAmount=10000&amp;annualOperation=0&amp;annualAdjustment=0&amp;inflationAdjusted=true&amp;annualPercentage=0.0&amp;frequency=4&amp;rebalanceType=1&amp;absoluteDeviation=5.0&amp;relativeDeviation=25.0&amp;leverageType=0&amp;leverageRatio=0.0&amp;debtAmount=0&amp;debtInterest=0.0&amp;maintenanceMargin=25.0&amp;leveragedBenchmark=false&amp;reinvestDividends=true&amp;showYield=false&amp;showFactors=false&amp;factorModel=3&amp;benchmark=VBINX&amp;portfolioNames=false&amp;portfolioName1=Portfolio+1&amp;portfolioName2=Portfolio+2&amp;portfolioName3=Portfolio+3&amp;symbol1=TSLA&amp;allocation1_1=40&amp;allocation1_2=16.70&amp;symbol2=NVDA&amp;allocation2_1=40&amp;allocation2_2=16.66&amp;symbol3=DVN&amp;allocation3_2=16.66&amp;symbol4=CVX&amp;allocation4_2=16.66&amp;symbol5=GS&amp;allocation5_2=16.66&amp;symbol6=GLD&amp;allocation6_2=16.66&amp;symbol7=LMND&amp;allocation7_1=10&amp;symbol8=PLTR&amp;allocation8_1=10\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" class=\"broken_link\">\u4e0b\u5716<\/a>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco3.jpg?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" title=\" \"loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7893 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco3.jpg?resize=720%2C415&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\" \" width=\"720\" height=\"415\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco3.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco3.jpg?resize=300%2C173&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco3.jpg?resize=1024%2C590&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco3.jpg?resize=768%2C442&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco4.jpg?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" title=\" \"loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7894 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco4.jpg?resize=720%2C599&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\" \" width=\"720\" height=\"599\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco4.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco4.jpg?resize=300%2C250&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco4.jpg?resize=1024%2C852&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco4.jpg?resize=768%2C639&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco5.jpg?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" title=\" \"loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7895 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco5.jpg?resize=720%2C446&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\" \" width=\"720\" height=\"446\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco5.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco5.jpg?resize=300%2C186&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco5.jpg?resize=1024%2C635&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco5.jpg?resize=768%2C476&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #00ccff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u56de\u5831\u53ca\u6ce2\u5e45<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u81ea2010\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u5e74\u5747\u56de\u5831\u9054\u523053%<\/span>\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u975e\u5e38\u5438\u5f15\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u3002\u4ed6\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u9ad8\u56de\u5831\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u975e\u5e38\u7740\u8ff7\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u5011\u518d\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff0c<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u6309\u6708\u6ce2\u5e45\u9054\u523013.49%<\/span>\u3002\u5f9e2010\u5e74\u52302021\u5e74\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u7d93\u6b77\u592a\u5927\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u57282018\u5e74\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u76f8\u4fe1\u5728\u90a3\u4e00\u5e74\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u9084\u6c92\u6709\u6301\u6709\u9019\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5b8c\u5168\u5ffd\u8996\u4e86\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u6309\u6708\u6ce2\u5e45\u70ba13.49%\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u6839\u64da<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2016\/11\/%e8%a1%a1%e9%87%8f%e8%87%aa%e5%b7%b1%e5%8f%af%e4%bb%a5%e6%89%bf%e5%8f%97%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u591a\u5e74\u524d\u6587\u6240\u8ff0<\/a>\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\u53ef\u80fd\u9054\u523013.49%\u7684\u4e94\u500d\uff0c\u5373\u5927\u7d0460%\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6700\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\u9054\u523013.49%\u7684\u5341\u500d\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u8457\u5168\u90e8\u672c\u91d1\u90fd\u6703\u84b8\u767c\u3002\u800c\u57282022\u5e74\uff0c\u8a72Portfolio\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u6700\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u5373MDD\uff0c\u9ad8\u9054-61.49%\u3002\u90a3\u4e00\u5e74\u9019\u6b63\u662f\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u7684200\u842c\u7f8e\u5143\u6700\u7d42\u8667\u640d\u8d85\u904e100\u842c\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86\u8d85\u904e50%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #00ccff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u5e74\u6b72\u53ca\u6ce2\u5e45<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4f86\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u3002\u4ed6\u52a0\u5165\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u88ab\u7a31\u70ba\u80fd\u5920\u63d0\u4f9b\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u80a1\u548c\u9280\u884c\u80a1\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u9ec3\u91d1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u6211\u5011\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528PV\u4f86\u770b\u770b\u9019\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u3002\u7576\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u80a1\u3001\u9280\u884c\u80a1\u548c\u9ec3\u91d1\u76f8\u7d50\u5408\u6642\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u5e74\u5747\u56de\u5831\u7387\u7d04\u70ba28%\uff0c\u6309\u6708\u6ce2\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f37.82%\uff0cMDD\u70ba-26%<\/span>\u3002\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u6309\u6708\u6ce2\u5e45<\/span>\u66f4\u7b26\u5408\u4ed6\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u597d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u5f9e\u5e74\u9f61\u548c\u6ce2\u5e45\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u4e00\u76f4\u5efa\u8b70\u4f7f\u7528\u300c10\u6e1b\u5e74\u6b72\u300d<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/2016\/12\/%e6%b3%a2%e5%b9%85%e6%98%af10%e6%b8%9b%e5%b9%b4%e6%ad%b2%e7%ac%ac%e4%b8%80%e5%80%8b%e6%95%b8%e5%ad%97\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u898b\u6b64<\/a>\uff0c\u4f86\u78ba\u5b9a\u9069\u5408\u7684\u6ce2\u5e45\u3002\u6545\u4e8b\u4e2d\u7684\u4e3b\u89d2\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u662f46\u6b72\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u9019\u500b\u6cd5\u5247\uff0c\u4ed6\u61c9\u8a72\u9069\u5408\u6309\u6708\u6ce2\u5e45\u70ba6%\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u3002\u4ed6\u6700\u521d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u6309\u6708\u6ce2\u5e45\u8d85\u904e13%\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u592a\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u90fd\u7121\u6cd5\u627f\u53d7\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u51fa\u73feMDD\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c31\u6703\u611f\u5230\u7126\u616e\u4e0d\u5b89\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u73fe\u5728\u65b0\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u6309\u6708\u6ce2\u5e45\u7d04\u70ba7%\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u4ed6\u53ef\u4ee5\u627f\u53d7\u76846%\u3002\u53ef\u662f\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u9084\u672a\u7d93\u6b77\u904e\u9019\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u6700\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u5982\u679c\u9019\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u771f\u7684\u51fa\u73fe30%\u81f360%\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u518d\u6b21\u8868\u793a\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u4ed6\u7121\u6cd5\u627f\u53d7\u3002\u9019\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u4e26\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u4ed6\u7684\u504f\u597d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #00ccff;\"><strong>\u5206\u6563\u6295\u8cc7<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u5176\u5be6\u5206\u6563\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u4e0d\u540c\u884c\u696d\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5206\u6563\u8cc7\u7522\u672c\u8eab\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u554f\u984c\u7684\u8fa6\u6cd5\u3002\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u964d\u4f4e\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u5176\u5be6\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u964d\u4f4e\u56de\u5831\u3002\u5f9e<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387<\/span>\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u4f86\u770b\uff0c<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387(1.13)\u6bd4\u7b2c\u4e8c\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408(1.05)\u66f4\u9ad8<\/span>\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u91d1\u5148\u751f\u53ea\u9700\u5c07\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6e1b\u534a<\/span>\u5373\u53ef\uff0c\u9019\u6a23\u53ef\u4ee5\u7372\u5f97\u8207\u7b2c\u4e8c\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u76f8\u540c\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u7684\u66f4\u597d\u56de\u5831\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u80fd\u4eab\u53d7\u8f03\u4f4e\u6ce2\u5e45\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #00ccff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6240\u8b02\u6301\u6709\u80a1\u7968\u4ee5\u7372\u53d6\u7a69\u5b9a\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u5176\u5be6\u53c8\u662f\u81ea\u6b3a\u6b3a\u4eba\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u516c\u53f8\u6d3e\u606f\u53ea\u662f\u5c07\u516c\u53f8\u8cc7\u7522\u5207\u5206\u7d66\u80a1\u6771\uff0c\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4f86\u8aaa\u662f\u5c6c\u65bc\u4e00\u7a2e\u88ab\u52d5\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c0f\u80a1\u6771\u5728\u80a1\u6771\u5927\u6703\u4e0a\u5c0d\u65bc\u6d3e\u606f\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u6c92\u6709\u767c\u8a00\u6b0a\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u4f9d\u8cf4\u516c\u53f8\u7ba1\u7406\u5c64\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u9700\u8981\u73fe\u91d1\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u76f4\u63a5\u8ce3\u51fa\u6301\u6709\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u6642\u9593\u3001\u50f9\u683c\u548c\u6578\u91cf\u5b8c\u5168\u7531\u81ea\u5df1\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u7b26\u5408\u500b\u4eba\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u7121\u9700\u4f9d\u8cf4\u4ed6\u4eba\u3002<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u516c\u53f8\u6d3e\u606f\u6240\u7522\u751f\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u8207\u81ea\u884c\u8ce3\u51fa\u80a1\u7968\u4f86\u63db\u53d6\u73fe\u91d1\u4e26\u7121\u5340\u5225<\/span>\uff0c\u751a\u81f3<span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u81ea\u884c\u8ce3\u51fa\u80a1\u7968<\/span>\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u70ba\u512a\u52dd\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u6d3e\u606f\u9700\u8981\u652f\u4ed8\u8a31\u591a\u624b\u7e8c\u8cbb\u3002\u6d3e\u606f\u7684\u6578\u91cf\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u500b\u4eba\u671f\u671b\uff0c\u53c8\u8a72\u5982\u4f55\u61c9\u5c0d\u5462\uff1f\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d3e\u606f\u4f5c\u70ba\u7a69\u5b9a\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e26\u975e\u6700\u4f73\u9078\u64c7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #00ccff; font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>\u597d\u80a1\u9577\u63f8?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u4e00\u96bb\u597d\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u80fd\u5426\u9577\u671f\u6301\u6709\uff1f\u9019\u8981\u770b\u9577\u671f\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\u662f\u591a\u4e45\u3002<span style=\"color: #00ccff;\">\u5982\u679c\u662f\u6c38\u4e45\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684<\/span>\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u770b\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u5716\u8868\uff0c\u5217\u51fa\u4e86\u7f8e\u80a1\u5341\u5927\u5e02\u503c\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u5e74\u4efd\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u5341\u5927\u5e02\u503c\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u5e74\u4efd\u662f\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u3002\u63db\u53e5\u8a71\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\u524d\u4f60\u6301\u6709\u901a\u7528\u96fb\u6c23\uff08GE\uff09\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5230\u73fe\u5728\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u50f9\u503c\u90fd\u5df2\u7d93\u6d88\u5931\u4e86\u3002\u4eca\u5929\u6301\u6709\u860b\u679c\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4e5f\u7121\u6cd5\u4fdd\u8b4910\u5e74\u621620\u5e74\u5f8c\u4e0d\u6703\u906d\u9047\u548c\u901a\u7528\u96fb\u6c23\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u547d\u904b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco2.png?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" title=\" \"loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7892 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco2.png?resize=720%2C583&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\" \" width=\"720\" height=\"583\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco2.png?w=1012&amp;ssl=1 1012w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco2.png?resize=300%2C243&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco2.png?resize=768%2C622&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u6240\u4ee5\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u5efa\u8b70\u4eba\u5011\u8cfc\u8cb7\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u61f6\u4eba\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u8003\u616e\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u904b\u7528\u4e3b\u52d5\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u7b56\u7565 (momentum investing)\uff0c\u5b9a\u671f\u6aa2\u8a0e\u4e26\u6301\u6709\u8868\u73fe\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u89c0\u5bdf\u4e0b\u5716\uff0c\u7576\u4eca\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u76c8\u5229\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u5c11\u6578\u516c\u53f8\u5e36\u52d5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco1.png?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" title=\" \"loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7891 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco1.png?resize=680%2C512&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\" \" width=\"680\" height=\"512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco1.png?w=680&amp;ssl=1 680w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco1.png?resize=300%2C226&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u50cf\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6240\u8aaa\u90a3\u6a23buy and hold\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u662f\u5c07\u5927\u90e8\u5206(73%)\u8cc7\u91d1\u6295\u5165\u76c8\u5229\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5c07\u9019\u5927\u90e8\u5206(73%)\u8cc7\u91d1\u8f49\u70ba\u6301\u6709\u9ad8\u56de\u5831\u7684\u5341\u5927\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u4e0d\u6703\u5f71\u97ffMDD\u4e4b\u9918\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u63d0\u9ad8\u56de\u5831\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387(0.9 &#8211;&gt; 1.27)\uff0c\u898b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfoliovisualizer.com\/backtest-portfolio?s=y&amp;timePeriod=2&amp;startYear=1985&amp;firstMonth=1&amp;endYear=2023&amp;lastMonth=12&amp;calendarAligned=true&amp;includeYTD=false&amp;initialAmount=10000&amp;annualOperation=0&amp;annualAdjustment=0&amp;inflationAdjusted=true&amp;annualPercentage=0.0&amp;frequency=4&amp;rebalanceType=1&amp;absoluteDeviation=5.0&amp;relativeDeviation=25.0&amp;leverageType=0&amp;leverageRatio=0.0&amp;debtAmount=0&amp;debtInterest=0.0&amp;maintenanceMargin=25.0&amp;leveragedBenchmark=false&amp;reinvestDividends=true&amp;showYield=false&amp;showFactors=false&amp;factorModel=3&amp;benchmark=VBINX&amp;portfolioNames=false&amp;portfolioName1=Portfolio+1&amp;portfolioName2=Portfolio+2&amp;portfolioName3=Portfolio+3&amp;symbol1=AAPL&amp;allocation1_1=12.50&amp;symbol2=MSFT&amp;allocation2_1=12.5&amp;symbol3=AMZN&amp;allocation3_1=12.5&amp;symbol4=GOOGL&amp;allocation4_1=12.5&amp;symbol5=BRK.A&amp;allocation5_1=12.5&amp;symbol6=GOOG&amp;allocation6_1=12.5&amp;symbol7=TSLA&amp;allocation7_1=12.5&amp;allocation7_2=50&amp;symbol8=XOM&amp;allocation8_1=12.5&amp;symbol9=NVDA&amp;allocation9_2=50\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" class=\"broken_link\">\u4e0b\u5716<\/a>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco7.jpg?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" title=\" \"loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7898 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco7.jpg?resize=720%2C457&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\" \" width=\"720\" height=\"457\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco7.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco7.jpg?resize=300%2C190&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco7.jpg?resize=1024%2C649&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco7.jpg?resize=768%2C487&amp;ssl=1 768w\" 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14pt;\">https:\/\/awealthofcommonsense.com\/2023\/05\/concentration-in-the-stock-market-2\/<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u597d\u80a1\u9577\u63f8? &nbsp; \u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u8fd1\u671f\u6709\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u8a0e\u8ad6\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6563\u6236\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u4f4d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u7d93\u6b77\u5982\u4e0b: &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7891,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[39,54,30,22,40,23,27,49],"class_list":["post-7889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-1","tag-buy-hold","tag-position-sizing","tag-sharpe-ratio","tag-22","tag-40","tag-23","tag-27","tag-49"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/goodco1.png?fit=680%2C512&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7Tc20-23f","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7889","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7889"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7889\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7904,"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7889\/revisions\/7904"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7891"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7889"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7889"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mpfdiy.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7889"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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